Work · South London

Flood map models: Beverley Brook and a second river model

Delivery support for two Environment Agency river flood models that update the Flood Map for Planning and regional flood awareness.

RoleDelivery support
Period2023–25
Valueest. US$120k (Beverley Brook) and est. US$100k (second model)
Supported 2023–25; later update phases continued after my tenure

ContextWhy it mattered

The Beverley Brook rises at Worcester Park and runs 14.3 km through Sutton, Kingston, Merton, Wandsworth and Richmond to the Thames, draining 64 km². Detailed Environment Agency river models feed the Flood Map for Planning, which sets the Flood Zones used in planning decisions. The national map was refreshed on 25 March 2025 with new risk data, climate change extents and, for the first time, surface water.

Partners: Environment Agency modelling and mapping teams; Specialist modelling consultants

My roleWhat I did

Delivery support: scope, programme, delivery tracking, quarterly finance and audit

  • Gave delivery support to two Environment Agency river flood model updates, including the Beverley Brook model.
  • Supported the scope and programme, and tracked delivery.
  • Ran quarterly finance and audit checks.

Project cycleHow the project moved, stage by stage

Who led each stage, and what it produced. Filled steps were mine; outlined steps were led by others.

My role (3 of 6 stages) Context: led by the council, partners or the Environment Agency, not my actions

  1. 1NeedEA-led

    Keeping the Flood Map for Planning current with improved river models.

    Result Model updates in the Environment Agency programme.

    ADB: Knowledge product identification · World Bank: Identification of technical assistance or analytics

  2. 2Scope and programmeMy role

    Supported the scope and programme of the two model updates.

    Result Model updates kept to scope and programme.

    ADB: Consultant supervision (support) · World Bank: Contract management (support)

  3. 3DeliveryMy role

    Tracked delivery of the model updates.

    Result Models progressed towards Flood Map for Planning use.

    ADB: Consultant supervision · World Bank: Contract management

  4. 4Finance and auditMy role

    Ran quarterly finance and audit checks.

    Result Budgets kept well scoped and managed.

    ADB: Financial management · World Bank: Financial management

  5. 5DisseminationEA-led

    The Environment Agency publishes model outputs in the Flood Map for Planning.

    Result Public flood maps for planning and awareness.

    ADB: Knowledge products; dissemination · World Bank: Risk information products

  6. 6LearningEA-led

    Later Beverley Brook update phases continued after my tenure.

    Result Continued model improvement.

    ADB: Sustainability of information systems · World Bank: Sustainability; operating and maintaining data systems

PeopleWho it affects, and how results were shared

Who it affects

  • Residents, planners and developers who use the Flood Map for Planning
  • Communities along the Beverley Brook (Sutton, Kingston, Merton, Wandsworth, Richmond)

How people were involved

  • Outputs reach the public through the published Flood Map for Planning. my role

What changes for them

  • Better flood maps steer new homes away from risk and help residents understand theirs.

Public evidenceThe Flood Map for Planning was refreshed on 25 March 2025 with new national risk data, climate change extents and, for the first time, surface water. Source: ADEPT briefing: Flood Map for Planning update (25 Mar 2025).

MethodsMethods and tools

  • Delivery tracking
  • Quarterly budgeting and audit
  • Flood Map for Planning (Flood Zones)
  • Linked 1D–2D river modelling (client-side understanding)

OutcomeWhat happened

Two model updates supported in 2023–25 (est. US$120k and est. US$100k). The models feed the Flood Map for Planning; later update phases ran after I left the Environment Agency.

From survey to Flood ZoneSurveyHydrology1D–2DmodelQualityassuranceFlood ZonesPlanning decisionsand warning areasMy part: scope, programme, delivery tracking, quarterly finance and auditBeverley Brook: 14.3 km through five boroughs to the Thames; 64 km² catchment.Process schematic; not licensed mapping.
From survey to Flood Zone. Schematic based on public sources (see Sources); not to scale.

In numbersWhat a river model update feeds: Flood Map for Planning layers (2025)

Flood Map for Planning layerPresent dayWith climate change
Flood Zones 2 and 3 (ignore defences)YesYes
Defended and undefended extentsYesYes
3.3% AEP defended extentYesYes
Surface-water flood risk (new in 2025)YesNot applicable

Models I supported

  • Beverley Brook est. US$120k
  • Second river model est. US$100k
Public figures; values from my record. One river model feeds several planning layers, today and with climate change.

ADEPT briefing on the 25 March 2025 Flood Map for Planning update (layers); model values are my estimates.

SkillsSkills gained

  • Delivery tracking, finance and auditSupporting technical model updates to scope, programme and budget.
  • Hydraulic modellingA client-side view of river modelling: what is specified, tracked and checked.
  • Flood risk assessmentHow detailed models become national flood maps and Flood Zones.
  • Policy and regulationThe link from model to Flood Map for Planning to development decisions.
  • Hydraulic modelling
  • Flood risk assessment
  • Policy and regulation

TransferHow this applies internationally

ADB RRBI. Supporting delivery of the models a basin authority relies on. RRBI aims to “consolidate existing models and hydrological data systems” and to assess the tools in use. I have seen that lifecycle from the client side, in a delivery-support role.

World Bank (procurement and QA support). Tracking the delivery and budgets of consultancy model updates. World Bank hydromet and flood risk projects need modelling services packaged, procured and checked against their terms of reference.

UNDRR / Sendai para 24(c). Risk maps as public risk information. Sendai para 24(c) asks for “location-based disaster risk information, including risk maps”, and UNDRR’s risk modelling and analytics build on maps like these.

Impact-based forecasting. Hazard maps for single design events. Impact-based forecasting needs hazard maps “derived from deterministic events or a stochastic event catalogue”. Flood-map models supply the first kind: one map for each design flood.

SourcesSources

  1. Wikipedia: Beverley Brook
  2. ADEPT briefing: Flood Map for Planning update (25 Mar 2025)

Value est. US$120k (Beverley Brook) and est. US$100k (second model): model values. The estimate is mine.